2006-2007 Dissertation Fellows
Ronald Caldwell
Ronald C. Caldwell Jr is a PhD Candidate in Economics and Master’s student in the Pharmaceutical Outcomes
Research and Policy Program (PORPP) at the University of Washington. His current poverty related research
focuses on the causes of differences in skill acquisition between minority and white children and their impact
on wage and income inequality.
Working Papers:
"The Effects of Affirmative Action Policies in University Admissions on Human Capital Development of
Minority Children: a Test of the Expectations Hypothesis."
"The Economics of Smoking Cessation: An Economic Simulation Model Comparing the Costs and Benefits
Associated with Standard Cessation Methods."
WCPC Funded Project:
Ronald C. Caldwell Jr., Department of Economics, "The
Effects of Affirmative Action Policies in University Admissions on Human
Capital Development of Minority Children: A Test of the Expectations
Hypothesis" Faculty
Supervisor Shelley Lundberg, Department of Economics.
It has been well documented that minority children leave primary school with lower acquired skill levels
than their white counterparts. The causes of this “skill gap”, however, are not entirely known. This paper
attempts to analyze one possible cause: the impact of perceived labor market discrimination on human capital
investment decisions by minority parents and children. Using the recent changes in affirmative action laws
regarding university admissions in California and Texas and NLSY79 data, we employ a
difference-in-difference–in-difference methodology to test for changes in achievement test scores among
minority children between the ages of 7 and 14. The results show a large, highly significant drop in
minority test scores among thirteen and fourteen year old African-Americans and Hispanics in the affected
states. Younger age groups show negative, but insignificant effects. These results suggest that expectations
do play a role in human capital investment of minority children and that further research in this area may be
warranted.
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